Alright guys, who shut down their farmbot yesterday? Loss of 70k users (5%), graph might be misleading
from Blaze@feddit.org to fediverse@lemmy.world on 15 Oct 2024 17:34
https://feddit.org/post/3799398

lemmy.fediverse.observer/dailystats

#fediverse

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sunzu2@thebrainbin.org on 15 Oct 2024 18:05 next collapse

Did an instance go down?

Danterious@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 15 Oct 2024 19:23 next collapse

Probably but which instance has over 70,000 users?

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sunzu2@thebrainbin.org on 15 Oct 2024 19:25 collapse

not sure when entire fedi-reddit is like 50k AMU lol

Draconic_NEO@lemmy.world on 16 Oct 2024 00:59 collapse

Maybe it’s a problem with the crawler.

Dave@lemmy.nz on 15 Oct 2024 18:12 next collapse

That graph is so misleading. Makes it look like almost all the users disappeared but the Y axis only covers a small range at the top.

Steve@communick.news on 15 Oct 2024 18:28 next collapse

The full range is about 5.5%. So while it is misleading, a 5% drop in a graph that consistent isn’t nothing. Something substantial absolutly changed

ademir@lemmy.eco.br on 15 Oct 2024 20:18 next collapse

Maybe whole Instance that went offline.

Blaze@feddit.org on 15 Oct 2024 21:27 collapse

That’s my guess to

beefbot@lemmy.blahaj.zone on 15 Oct 2024 20:43 collapse

Cool then it should be 5.5% of the visual space for it to not be misleading. But it’s represented much larger. And OP is (edit to sound less mean) not updating the post sooo…

I call shade

DarkThoughts@fedia.io on 15 Oct 2024 18:58 next collapse

It's like 70k users.

Dave@lemmy.nz on 15 Oct 2024 19:04 collapse

Exactly. Not the over a million that it looks like at a glance.

The user count isn’t helpful anyway, active users is a much better measure.

ademir@lemmy.eco.br on 15 Oct 2024 20:17 collapse

true that

Blaze@feddit.org on 15 Oct 2024 19:47 next collapse

I captured the graph with the number after the decrease at the bottom right to try to show the number of lost users, but I see where you come from

beefbot@lemmy.blahaj.zone on 15 Oct 2024 20:45 collapse

If you saw why people would criticise it then you’d… edit the post, recapture the graph with an accurate visual representation including the zero on the Y axis?

SlothMama@lemmy.world on 15 Oct 2024 21:09 next collapse

It’s the only way to demonstrate the fall, of you did it at scale it would’ve even be noticeable.

MotoAsh@lemmy.world on 15 Oct 2024 22:02 collapse

5% is noticeable unless the graph is under 20 pixels tall. Even then, dithering or antialiasing techniques could make it visible.

RogueBanana@lemmy.zip on 17 Oct 2024 06:01 collapse

There are people here who didn’t even notice the axis and are confused. How do you expect everyone to notice a 5% drop lol.

MotoAsh@lemmy.world on 17 Oct 2024 20:53 collapse

Well if they didn’t even notice an axis on a graph, they might be too stupid for a graph…

My point was only to say that 5% is very mich visible on a 0-100% graph.

RogueBanana@lemmy.zip on 18 Oct 05:08 collapse

My point is that it is hardly visible and doesn’t show the exact numbers properly. I prefer the current style of graph for showing sudden changes if the previous data points isn’t that important in the context. But everyone has their preference I suppose.

Blaze@feddit.org on 15 Oct 2024 21:29 next collapse

Well…

  • that’s how the website displayed the graph when I took that screenshot, I’m pretty sure you can’t modify the axis
  • I’m not on my computer at the moment, editing is the most I can do right now
  • if you can capture the graph with 0 on the Y axis, please post it below and I’ll update the picture
GBU_28@lemm.ee on 15 Oct 2024 22:37 collapse

Or just inform the other adults to consult the axis for clarification.

lambalicious@lemmy.sdf.org on 15 Oct 2024 20:09 next collapse

Lies, damned lies and statistics.

Jumuta@sh.itjust.works on 16 Oct 2024 13:14 collapse

no it’s not?

you can see the axes and op even mentions that it’s a 5% drop

the graph is clearly just fitted to the data

Blaze@feddit.org on 16 Oct 2024 13:22 next collapse

I edited the title after their comment, it wasn’t that clear at the beginning

lennivelkant@discuss.tchncs.de on 17 Oct 2024 05:38 next collapse

In my classes on analytics, we were taught to prefer using normalised axes starting at 0 to more accurately put changes into perspective.

ThomasLadder_69@lemmy.ml on 17 Oct 2024 09:07 collapse

the graph is clearly just fitted to the data

That’s the problem. It’s heavily skewed when compared to the greater overall engagement statistics.

rxin@lemmy.blahaj.zone on 15 Oct 2024 18:58 next collapse

would this not happen if a whole instance got shut down?

mesamunefire@lemmy.world on 15 Oct 2024 19:44 next collapse

Either that or blocked the crawler on their Instance.

Draconic_NEO@lemmy.world on 16 Oct 2024 00:54 collapse

I have a feeling it was caused by something like that, likely a failure of some kind. The drop is way too steep and abruptly for it to be natural.

Blaze@feddit.org on 15 Oct 2024 19:45 collapse

An active instance would have an impact on active users

Danterious@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 15 Oct 2024 19:55 collapse

Not immediately though right? since the active users are a month or half-year. Or does it automatically update that too?

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Blaze@feddit.org on 15 Oct 2024 20:01 next collapse

Active users are daily too (you have day, week and month counters in the sidebar of all communities)

Danterious@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 15 Oct 2024 21:31 collapse

I was talking about on the fediverse observer. It wouldn’t show up immediately there.

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Blaze@feddit.org on 15 Oct 2024 21:41 collapse

The Fediobserver has daily and monthly stats for active users. I assume daily indeed follow daily variations. You also saw those huge bumps when LW updated and started counting votes as activity

Danterious@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 15 Oct 2024 21:45 collapse

I think the observer shows daily and monthly stats for the active users per month and active users per half year so the active users per month wouldn’t change as fast I think.

Also about it being a botfarm I do think that is a possibility. Actually there is more evidence for it when you see extend the graph to 120 days and see a huge uptick in users and servers at the same time. Edit: 2024-7-29

Edit: wording

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Blaze@feddit.org on 15 Oct 2024 21:48 collapse

I think the observer shows daily and monthly stats for the active users per month and active users per half year so the active users per month wouldn’t change as fast I think.

Indeed, I was remembering it wrong, you might be right!

Also about it being a botfarm I do think that is a possibility. Actually there is much clearer evidence for it when you see extend the graph to 120 days and see a huge uptick in users and servers at the same time. Edit: 2024-7-29

Definitely

mesamunefire@lemmy.world on 16 Oct 2024 13:28 collapse

The source code is open source so I believe someone can tell us if need be.

poke@sh.itjust.works on 15 Oct 2024 19:24 next collapse

Which one of you forgot to open the app so we all ceased to exist to save on simulation resources?

11111one11111@lemmy.world on 15 Oct 2024 23:07 collapse

Go on… lol

itsgroundhogdayagain@lemmy.ml on 15 Oct 2024 19:55 next collapse

Was the metric measured before the day the was over which would limit the timeframe of the final day and show fewer users?
I dont see this chart when I click the link

Blaze@feddit.org on 15 Oct 2024 20:00 collapse

It should be there, it’s the second graph

ademir@lemmy.eco.br on 15 Oct 2024 20:53 next collapse

LOL

Emperor@feddit.uk on 16 Oct 2024 15:14 next collapse

Interestingly there seems to have been an uptick in comments.

Blaze@feddit.org on 16 Oct 2024 15:16 collapse

Indeed, the plot thickens.

Maybe the farm bot owner decided to make all comments by a single bot now.

Emperor@feddit.uk on 16 Oct 2024 16:57 collapse

Curiouser and curiouser.

Probably some mundane explanation but still…

Evotech@lemmy.world on 16 Oct 2024 15:25 collapse

At least user a log scale. But start at 0

Blaze@feddit.org on 16 Oct 2024 15:40 collapse

Feel free to suggest this to the Fediverse Observer team

Evotech@lemmy.world on 16 Oct 2024 15:44 collapse

Ah, I didn’t know.

The monthly graph is pretty interesting in the same way, -400k?

<img alt="" src="https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/9b1c4718-20e0-4264-ba3d-87560a49e568.png">

Blaze@feddit.org on 16 Oct 2024 15:47 collapse

Lots of farmbots going down looking at the servers graph

Evotech@lemmy.world on 16 Oct 2024 15:56 collapse

Interestingly the amount of active users status pretty solid at 200k indeed