Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)
(www.nature.com)
from Joker@sh.itjust.works to science@mander.xyz on 16 Dec 19:14
https://sh.itjust.works/post/29581681
from Joker@sh.itjust.works to science@mander.xyz on 16 Dec 19:14
https://sh.itjust.works/post/29581681
All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is.
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“What is the probability of flipping tails on a coin?”
50%
“What if I told you that the coin had two heads! Gotcha!”
Then the probability of tails would be 0%, and you’d be an arsehole.
Yeah, the more I read the less impressed I was–though I’m always willing to accept the probability I’m not smart enough to grasp an author’s idea. Seems like a subject that may have run its course in reasonable analysis and this is all that is left to scrabble about in for ideas.
What an ironic headline.