Not the same
from lena@gregtech.eu to science_memes@mander.xyz on 15 Feb 12:51
https://gregtech.eu/post/7551024

Every single person who confuses correlation and causation ends up dying

#science_memes

threaded - newest

Zagorath@aussie.zone on 15 Feb 13:27 next collapse

I like the meme, but I don’t think it actually works. The implication here is that there’s a correlation between confusing correlation with causation and dying. But there isn’t such a correlation. You are statistically equally likely to die either way

RedditRefugee69@lemmynsfw.com on 15 Feb 13:40 next collapse

This is why you never check the comments on a joke you initially thought was funny.

credo@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 13:44 next collapse

THATS THE JOKE

I see the confusion now. It’s evident in the thread below. Carry on.

Zagorath@aussie.zone on 15 Feb 13:52 collapse

No, it’s not. The joke is that there is a correlation, but that actually correlation doesn’t mean causation. But here we have a situation where there is neither correlation nor causation.

The problem is that the joke suggests that correlation is when A -> B (or at least it appears as such). Implication (in formal logic) is not the same as correlation.

FundMECFSResearch@lemmy.blahaj.zone on 15 Feb 13:54 next collapse

Yup.

If the rate of dying is 100% for all humans.

Then the rate of dying for both humans who confuse correlation and causation and those who don’t is 100%. Hence there is no correlation between the confusion and dying. So no one is confusing correlation or causation, because neither are present.

credo@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 14:09 collapse

Sorry to get mathematical…

P(A∣B)=P(A) iff

P(B∣A)=P(B) iff

P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)

->𝐴 and 𝐵 are uncorrelated or independent.

There is no correlation with events with probability 1

rustydrd@sh.itjust.works on 15 Feb 16:37 next collapse

Don’t even need to bring probability into this. Death is certain, and correlation requires variance.

tetris11@lemmy.ml on 15 Feb 18:10 collapse

isn’t that just Bayesian apologist propaganda?
*jumps in an unlabelled Frequentist van* “Floor it!”

[deleted] on 15 Feb 14:12 next collapse

.

spankmonkey@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 15:09 collapse

You are statistically equally likely to die either way

That just adds an additional layer to the joke without undermining the intended punchline about people confusing the two.

pennomi@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 14:27 next collapse

Looks like an AI generated image to me. Lots of strange artifacts an artist wouldn’t create. And there’s something uncanny about the stippling pattern I’ve seen before in AI images.

lena@gregtech.eu on 15 Feb 14:29 next collapse

Hmm, maybe. I honestly can’t tell.

pennomi@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 14:59 collapse

It’s certainly better than most! For instance the text looks excellent. Look at the scientist’s eyes for a clue - one of them has a suspicious white circle while the other doesn’t, and the asymmetry does not seem to be intentional.

Uli@sopuli.xyz on 15 Feb 15:20 next collapse

Yeah, somehow it looked AI before I clicked into it for the high res version, something about the way the guy’s face was drawn. And when I saw the high res, it was really obvious, because the pupils are askew in a way a true artist would not have chosen. And as you say, the stippling pattern is typical of AI. Weird that our brains seem to be some of the best competitors in the arms race between creating and identifying AI images.

brbposting@sh.itjust.works on 15 Feb 16:22 next collapse
RedSnt@feddit.dk on 15 Feb 19:44 next collapse

I was thinking so as well. Mostly because of the left pupil not looking like the right pupil, but also the style. The style of shadow below the chalkboard looks like a really odd choice.

barsoap@lemm.ee on 15 Feb 20:42 next collapse

The top right one is definitely not drawn by a human, it’s right out hexagons. Noone cross-hatches like that because you can’t cross-hatch like that there’s no lines going straight through.

The rest could be artistic choice, compression artifacts, or other stuff though. Well, some minor stuff, the topmost book on the left pile on the desk on the right is sus, and there’s way too many sponges at the base of the chalkboard. But none of them are dead tells like the hexagons.

spookex@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 23:56 collapse

Idk about that, I used to sometimes work for a group that translates manga and have seen similar patterns to that

barsoap@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 00:07 collapse

It does somewhat resemble the halftone dithering patterns that commonly occur in manga, but this is supposed to be cross-hatched otherwise the fringes wouldn’t be lines.

FauxLiving@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 21:00 next collapse

This looks shopped — I can tell from some of the pixels, and from seeing quite a few shops in my time.

DogWater@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 23:28 collapse

How did you spot that? I’m good at spotting real life images but I didn’t even blink at this one. I saw one thing when I went back after reading your comment, but it took me a minute to find it

pennomi@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 23:35 collapse

I work a lot with AI images, you just get a sense for it over time. It is getting harder over the years as things improve however.

forrgott@lemm.ee on 16 Feb 00:12 collapse

I doubted your assertion at first; I’ve experimented with all kinda techniques for stippling and pointillism (sp?), but after the other guys comment I zoomed in and quickly realized the techniques are mix and match. Hatching morphing into scales, for instance.

Good eye.

DogWater@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 03:10 collapse

For me it’s the elbow wrinkles on his one arm, they make no sense.

yesman@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 15:21 next collapse

<img alt="" src="https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/e841b87e-4c1e-4400-a11c-1a672312af93.png">

lugal@sopuli.xyz on 15 Feb 15:47 next collapse

Maybe the causation is the other way around. People are only willing to attend a statistics class once they are on the way (but not fully aware yet) to understand that correlation doesn’t imply causation.

mister_flibble@lemm.ee on 15 Feb 20:53 collapse

Alternatively:

<img alt="" src="https://lemm.ee/pictrs/image/508b643c-e41c-4b13-9894-794d091c221c.png">

Nelots@lemm.ee on 15 Feb 21:53 collapse

The way he holds that laptop in the second panel horrifies me.

Hupf@feddit.org on 16 Feb 06:34 collapse

He holds the laptop like that on purpose, to make you cringe.

BevelGear@beehaw.org on 15 Feb 17:56 next collapse

Here’s a website dedicated to spurious correlations

tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

admin@sh.itjust.works on 15 Feb 18:39 next collapse

I mean, yes. But also…

<img alt="" src="https://sh.itjust.works/pictrs/image/b732f290-8183-4a4a-bce9-37c15dadf1f7.jpeg">

SpacetimeMachine@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 18:44 collapse

That’s the joke…

Mad_Punda@feddit.org on 15 Feb 18:48 next collapse

I absolutely got whooshed there.

admin@sh.itjust.works on 15 Feb 19:22 collapse

Ohhh. It was a joke?

[deleted] on 15 Feb 19:12 next collapse

.

MutilationWave@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 20:13 next collapse

Dihydrogen monoxide?

TheBrideWoreCrimson@sopuli.xyz on 15 Feb 20:17 collapse

It seems Hydrogen dioxide is pretty deadly too. We’re all fucking doomed.

You’re not wrong about that.

Duamerthrax@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 19:30 next collapse

Me: 'It sure looks like rising CO2 levels are bringing climate change."

Them: “coRreLaTIOn dOes Not MEan cAusaTIon!”

stebo02@lemmy.dbzer0.com on 15 Feb 19:52 next collapse

you almost had me dying for this one

Jumpingspiderman@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 20:27 next collapse

Brilliant!

borokov@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 20:38 next collapse

Leave this here: www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations

milicent_bystandr@lemm.ee on 15 Feb 22:51 collapse

Wow, I nearly ignored your link - glad I didn’t!

rowanthorpe@lemmy.ml on 16 Feb 09:17 collapse

I think some of the expandable GenAI “made-up explanations” and “images” on that page are the icing on the cake.

[deleted] on 15 Feb 22:09 next collapse

.

LovableSidekick@lemmy.world on 15 Feb 23:16 next collapse

I knew a guy who did that one time. Know what happened? He’s DEAD.

ZeffSyde@lemmy.world on 16 Feb 06:50 collapse

His name was Jimi Hendrix!

umbrella@lemmy.ml on 15 Feb 23:50 next collapse

water cures covid

Worx@lemmynsfw.com on 16 Feb 00:58 collapse

I’ve never confused correlation with causation and I’m not dead. I think I know why